Adrian Mannarino vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong
Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
54%56%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (25/34)65% (24/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)41% (12/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (13/37)26% (9/34)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (17/29)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)33% (2/6)
Winners
1920
Unforced Errors
912
Net Points Won
0% (0/6)26% (6/23)
Service Points Won
63% (40/63)55% (36/66)
Return Points Won
45% (30/66)37% (23/63)
Total Points Won
54% (70/129)46% (59/129)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
59.9%
Jesper De Jong
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.52)

    2.35
    (2.3)
    6.1%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). De Jong will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Jong: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jesper De Jong will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 53. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mannarino could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Davidovich Fokina A.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2