Result
2:0
25/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (27/36) | 48% (16/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 40% (10/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 55% (6/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 25% (9/36) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 46% (6/13) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 17% (1/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (34/49) | 45% (26/58) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 31% (15/49) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (66/107) | 38% (41/107) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 29% (2/7) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 13% (1/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 20% (3/15) |
Chances of winning
Marco Trungelliti
55.5% | Guy Den Ouden
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marco Trungelliti - Guy Den Ouden Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.52) |
|
2.07 ↓
(2.34) |
6.4%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Guy Den Ouden?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Den Ouden (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 144. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 160.
- Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Trungelliti will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Guy Den Ouden?
Marco Trungelliti has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guy Den Ouden won against Marco Trungelliti?
Guy Den Ouden has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Guy Den Ouden were as follows:
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Latest results of Guy Den Ouden
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
