Alexandre Muller vs Karen Khachanov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov
Result
2:1
24/09/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
512
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
64%64%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (53/69)74% (50/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)50% (19/38)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
26% (18/68)26% (18/69)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (19/38)51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)33% (2/6)
Winners
2823
Unforced Errors
2119
Net Points Won
100% (19/0)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
66% (73/110)65% (69/106)
Return Points Won
35% (37/106)34% (37/110)
Total Points Won
51% (110/216)49% (106/216)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
21.5%
Karen Khachanov
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 70.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.
  • Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.42
    (2.93)

    1.22
    (1.38)
    4.6%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Khachanov will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 38. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Recent form of Muller has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Khachanov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Khachanov is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Muller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0