Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Result
Carballes Baena R. retired
24/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
56%77%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (19/28)67% (20/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
27% (6/22)67% (6/9)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
33% (10/30)32% (9/28)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (3/9)73% (16/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
50% (25/50)67% (26/39)
Return Points Won
33% (13/39)50% (25/50)
Total Points Won
43% (38/89)57% (51/89)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (4/7)100% (6/6)
Return Games Won
0% (0/6)43% (3/7)
Total Games Won
31% (4/13)69% (9/13)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
50.4%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.63)

    1.86
    (2.12)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 110. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 222.
    • Carballes Baena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Llamas Ruiz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Llamas Ruiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2