Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lipno Stęszew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group II Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew
Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Kusmierczyk B. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Rasiak J. ,
  • 18', 1 - 2, Kaczmarek D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 64', 2 - 2, Ossowski A. ,
  • 68', 3 - 2, Waligora N. ,
  • 72', 3 - 3, Chilinski K. ,
  • 79', 3 - 4, ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin II
55.5%
Draw
26.2%
Lipno Stęszew
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 21.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 20.6% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.54)
    3.64
    (4.28)
    5.5
    (4.68)
    1.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lipno Stęszew (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Pogoń Szczecin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin II is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sroda1283126:151127
    2Zawisza1282229:101926
    3Swinoujscie1282220:91126
    4Cartusia Kartuzy1281323:111225
    5Luzino1273232:171524
    6Elana Torun1272324:17723
    7Lech Poznan II1171333:191422
    8Blekitni Stargard1253424:19518
    9Lipno Steszew1242618:26-814
    10Wda Swiecie1242612:28-1614
    11Kluczevia Stargard1234517:18-113
    12Unia Swarzedz1234513:16-313
    13Notec Czarnkow1234512:15-313
    14Tluchowo1232711:24-1311
    15Nowe Skalmierzyce122467:17-1010
    16Pogon Szczecin II1231821:32-1110
    17Wrzesnia12201011:22-116
    18Rewal111284:22-185

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation