Result
1:1
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/455) | 84% (397/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/455) | 84% (397/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (46/81) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 74% (100/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 21% (8/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Behrens K. ⚽,
- 16', Kendouci A. 🟨,
- 16', Bottani M. 🟨,
- 26', Douline D. 🟨,
- 29', Joao Carbone 🟨,
- 39', Stevanovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Bottani M. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 52', Joao Carbone ↓, Steffen R. ↑,
- 57', Fomba L. ↓, Lopes T. ↑,
- 68', Atangana J. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
- 68', Kendouci A. ↓, Maslarov I. ↑,
- 73', Severin Y. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Mraz S. ⚽,
- 88', Mendes H. ↓, Allix T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugano
41.5% | Draw
30% | Servette
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Lugano - Servette Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.02) |
3.14 ↓
(3.6) |
3.26 ↑
(3.22) |
6.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lugano - Servette?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Servette will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 52.1% – 90.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Servette (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Lugano (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Servette (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Servette has had a series of home games.
- Lugano might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Inactive)
Bislimi U.
(Red Card)
Cassano C.
(Inactive)
Delcroix H.
(Injury)
Grgic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Marques M.
(Injury)
Mina D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Servette: Aye F.
(Inactive)
Baron A.
(Injury)
Bronn D.
(Injury)
Frick J.
(Hip Injury)
Ishuayed Sanchez M.
(Injury)
Jallow A.
(Red Card)
Rouiller S.
(Yellow Cards)
Srdanovic L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Servette?
Lugano has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Lugano?
Servette has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Servette were as follows:
14.12.2025
Lugano
-
Servette
4:2
26.10.2025
Servette
-
Lugano
2:1
15.05.2025
Servette
-
Lugano
4:1
29.03.2025
Lugano
-
Servette
0:2
01.12.2024
Servette
-
Lugano
3:0
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 26 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Lugano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | Sion | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | Basel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 52:52 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Luzern | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 52:49 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 21 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 29:75 | -46 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
