Thames Valley vs West Coast – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Heartland Championships Thames Valley - West Coast
Result
45:7
26/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Heartland Championships - Round 7

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (19 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (26 - 7)

Chances of winning


Thames Valley
76.5%
Draw
3.4%
West Coast
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 3.1% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 2.9% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thames Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thames Valley's performance.
  • West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and West Coast might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thames Valley than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Coast than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Coast could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Thames Valley - West Coast Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.39)
    25.5
    (29.5)
    5.08
    (3.06)
    6.6%
    (8.3%)
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • Thames Valley is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • West Coast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Thames Valley is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Thames Valley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:51. (average 21:25.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Thames Valley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:27.
    Latest results of Thames Valley
    19.09.2025 Thames Valley - East Coast 84:5
    12.09.2025 Buller - Thames Valley FRO
    05.09.2025 North Otago - Thames Valley 45:36
    29.08.2025 Thames Valley - King Country 24:20
    Latest results of West Coast
    19.09.2025 West Coast - North Otago 31:38
    05.09.2025 West Coast - Wairarapa Bush 14:24
    29.08.2025 Whanganui - West Coast 19:38
    22.08.2025 East Coast - West Coast 21:80
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Mid Cant (1)Wairarapa (4)
    2South Cant (2)Thames Valley (3)