Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik
26/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
33.8%
Alexander Bublik
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 68.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.74)

    1.44
    (1.45)
    4.6%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Adrian Mannarino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 60. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.
    • In recent matches, Mannarino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bublik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bublik will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Davidovich Fokina A.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2