Excelsior Maassluis vs HSV Hoek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
68
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
109
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
24
Corner kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ,
  • 13', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Plank D. ,
  • 33', de Nooijer Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 3 - 0, Madi A. , Verbont Y. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Bouihrouchane H. , Sula D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martens G. , Jalloh A. ,
  • 55', Bouihrouchane H. , Lion J. ,
  • 55', Aelterman N. , Hage S. ,
  • 63', Plank D. , Wennekers B. ,
  • 63', Hamd Y. , Nagtegaal N. ,
  • 68', Siereveld G. 🟨,
  • 74', Van Hauter R. , Lijbers T. ,
  • 74', Siereveld G. , Steenpoorte M. ,
  • 77', Tavares Q. 🟨,
  • 77', Verbont Y. , Slagveer D. ,
  • 80', Lopes Varela D. , Heuvelman D. ,
  • 90+6', de Poorter R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Maassluis
33.8%
Draw
27.4%
HSV Hoek
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 26% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 25% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.81)
    3.35
    (3.58)
    2.37
    (2.28)
    9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 1).
    • In recent matches, Excelsior Maassluis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoek is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek were as follows:
    27.09.2025 HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis 3:1
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Latest results of HSV Hoek
    21.02.2026 HSV Hoek - RKAV Volendam 1:0
    07.02.2026 ACV - HSV Hoek 0:1
    24.01.2026 HSV Hoek - Spakenburg 1:1
    17.01.2026 Koninklijke HFC - HSV Hoek 2:1
    Dutch Tweede Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hoek28165744:281653
    2Quick Boys28149553:292450
    3De Treffers28147747:311649
    4Rijnsburgse Boys28138759:451447
    5Hardenberg281441047:341346
    6Spakenburg28127961:54743
    7Katwijk281171044:44040
    8Jong Sparta Rotterdam28109960:57339
    9Jong Almere City281151258:51738
    10RKAV Volendam281221443:45-238
    11AFC281081036:40-438
    12GVVV281151242:49-738
    13Barendrecht281141352:67-1537
    14HFC281131429:37-836
    15Kozakken Boys281061236:47-1136
    16Excelsior Maassluis28761533:49-1627
    17ACV Assen28591438:56-1824
    18IJsselmeervogels28721937:56-1923

          Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
          Relegation