Somaspor vs Aliaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Second League Red Group Somaspor - Aliaga
Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Acikgoz M. , Kanci O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 64', 0 - 2, Yilmaz G. , Acikgoz M. (A),
  • 67', 0 - 3, Acikgoz M. , Sarikaya M. (A),

Chances of winning


Somaspor
7.7%
Draw
18.5%
Aliaga
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 27.6% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4% 27% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Somaspor's form might have worsened.
  • Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-19%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Somaspor - Aliaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.65
    (4.87)
    4.86
    (3.32)
    1.22
    (1.71)
    11%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Somaspor - Aliaga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Somaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aliaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Somaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aliaga is the undeniable favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Somaspor
    21.09.2025 Muş Spor - Somaspor 4:0
    17.09.2025 Somaspor - Çankaya 1:3
    07.09.2025 Somaspor - Mardin 1969 0:4
    30.08.2025 Fethiyespor - Somaspor 1:1
    Latest results of Aliaga
    21.09.2025 Aliaga - Ankara Demirspor 2:0
    13.09.2025 Mardin 1969 - Aliaga 1:0
    07.09.2025 Aliaga - Fethiyespor 3:0
    03.09.2025 Aliaga - İnegöl Kafkas 2:1
    30.08.2025 Guzide Gebzespor - Aliaga 1:0
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mardin 19691081127:72025
    2Bursaspor1071227:72022
    3Aliaga1071226:62022
    4Guzide Gebzespor1064019:61322
    5K. u0130stiklalspor1062223:81520
    6Ankara Demirspor1054116:9719
    7Isparta 32 Spor1053217:10718
    8Menemenspor1044219:12716
    9Musspor1043318:13515
    10Aksaray Bld1035212:7514
    11Fethiyespor1033420:13712
    12Trabzon FK1033417:14312
    13Arnavutkoy Bl1032510:11-111
    14Kirklarelispor1025311:14-311
    15Soma Spor1011810:26-164
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu101185:24-194
    17Adanaspor AS1000103:55-520
    18Yeni Malatyaspor100197:45-38-35

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