Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Brandon Nakashima - Marton Fucsovics
Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
67
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
68%54%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (35/49)68% (25/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (12/23)41% (13/32)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
41% (15/37)31% (15/49)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (19/32)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
65% (47/72)55% (38/69)
Return Points Won
45% (31/69)35% (25/72)
Total Points Won
55% (78/141)45% (63/141)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
53.3%
Marton Fucsovics
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Brandon Nakashima - Marton Fucsovics Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.74)

    2.06
    (2.11)
    4.5%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Marton Fucsovics?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Fucsovics will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brandon Nakashima will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 58.
    • In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fucsovics is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fucsovics may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Marton Fucsovics
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0