Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Football German 2 Bundesliga Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher
Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.84
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
81% (352/437)80% (280/351)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.512.70
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
818
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
81% (352/437)80% (280/351)
Long passes
38% (18/47)53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
70% (80/114)72% (81/113)
Crosses
11% (2/19)61% (11/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.99
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1012
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
1848
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.700.51
Goals prevented
-0.30-2.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Froling N. ⚽, Risch S. (A),
  • 11', 1 - 1, Beifus M. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Egloff L. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Amoako K. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Daferner C. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 3, Schleusener F. ⚽, Pinto Pedrosa R. (A),
  • 68', Oehmichen J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
  • 68', Daferner C. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
  • 74', Froling N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 75', Forster P. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
  • 80', Risch S. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
  • 84', Egloff L. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
  • 89', Schleusener F. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Lemmer J. ⚽,
  • 90+5', Beifus M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Kutschke S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
43.6%		Draw
25.9%		Karlsruher
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.19 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.6 ↑
    (3.4)    		 3.08 ↑
    (2.88)    		 5.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 40% – 93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dynamo Dresden will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
    • Recent performances by Dynamo Dresden have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Dynamo Dresden could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Muscle Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Ersungur A. (Knee Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karlsruher: Franke M. (Back Injury) Jung S. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Hannover 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04 0:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    27.09.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 1:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Karlsruher - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher 0:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Karlsruher - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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