Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien
Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
51%61%
1st Serve Points Won
48% (12/25)67% (24/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (10/24)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (12/36)52% (13/25)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)58% (14/24)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)56% (5/9)
Winners
1211
Unforced Errors
1610
Net Points Won
50% (5/10)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
45% (22/49)61% (36/59)
Return Points Won
39% (23/59)55% (27/49)
Total Points Won
42% (45/108)58% (63/108)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Flavio Cobolli
60.9%
Learner Tien
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flavio Cobolli's performance.
  • Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flavio Cobolli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.8)

    2.43
    (2)
    4.7%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Tien will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Learner Tien will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cobolli is ranked ATP: 25. Tien is ranked ATP: 52.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cobolli might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Flavio Cobolli
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.