Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Premier Division - Round 38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Yawson S. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Yawson S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 73', 3 - 0, (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Lancaster City
48.4%
Draw
25.8%
Morpeth Town
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 24.5% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.8% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lancaster City's form might have worsened.
  • Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morpeth Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lancaster City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morpeth Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lancaster City - Morpeth Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.65)
    3.54
    (3.79)
    3.52
    (4.82)
    9.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Lancaster is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lancaster City - Morpeth Town were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Morpeth Town - Lancaster City 0:1
    22.03.2025 Lancaster City - Morpeth Town 0:0
    16.11.2024 Morpeth Town - Lancaster City 0:2
    16.03.2024 Morpeth Town - Lancaster City 2:0
    24.10.2023 Lancaster City - Morpeth Town 3:2
    Latest results of Lancaster City
    Latest results of Morpeth Town
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hebburn Town382110771:403173
    2Hednesford382110758:322673
    3FC United37218862:362671
    4Warrington Rylands391813858:401867
    5Gainsborough3816111148:40859
    6Stockton3717101058:471158
    7Lancaster3816101253:44958
    8Cleethorpes3814121256:461054
    9Leek381571646:50-452
    10Ashton Utd381491543:50-751
    11Bamber Bridge381481651:48350
    12Ilkeston381461849:52-348
    13Warrington3812121441:58-1748
    14Guiseley391381845:55-1047
    15Rushall3811111647:59-1244
    16Whitby3810121641:52-1142
    17Hyde389141554:62-841
    18Workington389131640:55-1540
    19Morpeth381162136:53-1739
    20Prescot387151636:49-1336
    21Stocksbridge388111938:63-2535

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation