Result
2:1
13/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Sandoval T. ⚽, Ortega W. (A),
- 8', Sandoval T. 🟨,
- 29', Pinuelas J. ↓, Galindo J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', del Angel E. ↓, Cruz C. ↑,
- 46', Partida E. ↓, Rangel J. ↑,
- 46', Ruiz J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 49', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 50', Sosa C. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Salazar J. ⚽, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. (A),
- 61', Uribe H. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
- 61', Sandoval T. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
- 70', Mina D. 🟨,
- 77', Pena R. 🟨,
- 78', Torres E. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 80', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 83', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 87', Rangel J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hernandez H. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Delgadillo Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Correcaminos UAT 30.9% | Draw 26.2% | Irapuato 42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.9) |
3.55 ↓ (3.99) |
2.17 ↑ (2.11) |
7.5% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Irapuato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Irapuato will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Irapuato?
Correcaminos UAT has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Correcaminos UAT?
Irapuato has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato were as follows:
03.10.2025
Irapuato
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:1
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)