Fakel-GTS Surgut vs Norilsky Nickel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
09/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 9', Felipe A. (G),
  • 9', Kudziev R. (G),
  • 10', Abdulkadyrov D. (G),
  • 15', Felipe A. (G),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 26', Emelyanov N. (G),
  • 28', Mustafin D. (G),
  • 39', Kvaratskhelia D. (G),

Chances of winning


Fakel-GTS Surgut
17.6%
Draw
16%
Norilsky Nickel
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 15.8% 67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6% 15.8% 67.8%

Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsky Nickel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.17
(5.59)
5.68
(5.85)
1.37
(1.37)
10%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
  • 1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.
  • Fakel-GTS has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • In recent matches, Norilsky Nickel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Norilsky Nickel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Norilsky Nickel is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.7:4).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsky Nickel were as follows:
30.11.2025 Norilsky Nickel - Fakel-GTS Surgut 4:1
01.10.2025 Norilsky Nickel - Fakel-GTS Surgut 5:1
30.09.2025 Norilsky Nickel - Fakel-GTS Surgut 3:0
Latest results of Fakel-GTS Surgut
Latest results of Norilsky Nickel
Draw
2025/26

1/8-finals
1TorpedoNovaja Generacija7 : 1, 4 : 1
2YugraSintur Yekaterinburg6 : 4, 4 : 2
3YekaterinburgIrAero3 : 2, 4 : 3
4CPRFTZMS Tula4 : 2, 9 : 5
5Norilsky NickelSibiryak4 : 2, 3 : 0
6TyumenFakel-GTS5 : 6, 5 : 5
7Kristall St. PetersburgLipetsk2 : 2, 4 : 3
8UkhtaKuzbass Kemerovo5 : 2, 5 : 3

Quarter-finals
1TorpedoYugra4 : 2, 2 : 3
2YekaterinburgCPRF2 : 3, 1 : 3
3Norilsky NickelFakel-GTS4 : 3, 4 : 1
4Kristall St. PetersburgUkhta6 : 7, 4 : 6

Semi-finals
1TorpedoCPRF8 : 6
2Norilsky NickelUkhta2 : 2

Final
1TBD #1TBD #2