Result
5:4 penalties
01/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', Leifeld V. (G), Kudziev R. (A),
- 10', Belousov A. (G), Kvaratskhelia D. (A),
- 14', Mustafin D. (Own Goal),
- 15', Kudziev R. (G),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 23', Kudziev R. (G), Leifeld V. (A),
- 30', Emelyanov M. (G), Emelyanov N. (A),
- 37', Karpyuk D. (G), Emelyanov M. (A),
- 38', Safin T. (G), Emelyanov M. (A),
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Kudziev R. (Pen),
- 1, Belousov A. (Pen),
- 2, Antoshkin A. (Pen),
- 2, Kuznetsov N. (Pen),
- 3, Rodriginho (Pen),
- 3, Emelyanov M. (Pen),
- 4, Sanosyan V. (Pen),
- 4, Safin T. (Pen),
- 5, Abramovich S. (Pen),
- 5, Karpiuk D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Fakel-GTS Surgut
21.6% | Draw
16.2% | Norilsky Nickel
62.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Norilsky Nickel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsky Nickel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norilsky Nickel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsky Nickel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.7) |
5.6 ↑
(5.4) |
1.46 ↓
(1.55) |
10.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Fakel-GTS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Norilsky Nickel has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Norilsky Nickel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fakel-GTS has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Norilsky Nickel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Norilsky Nickel is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 2:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel-GTS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 4:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel-GTS Surgut won against Norilsky Nickel?
Fakel-GTS Surgut has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsky Nickel won against Fakel-GTS Surgut?
Norilsky Nickel has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsky Nickel were as follows:
28.02.2026
Fakel-GTS Surgut
-
Norilsky Nickel
5:3
09.12.2025
Fakel-GTS Surgut
-
Norilsky Nickel
3:4
30.11.2025
Norilsky Nickel
-
Fakel-GTS Surgut
4:1
01.10.2025
Norilsky Nickel
-
Fakel-GTS Surgut
5:1
30.09.2025
Norilsky Nickel
-
Fakel-GTS Surgut
3:0
Latest results of Fakel-GTS Surgut
Latest results of Norilsky Nickel
Russian Super Liga Futsal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Yugra | 36 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 134:84 | 71 |
| 2 | CPRF | 35 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 137:85 | 70 |
| 3 | Ukhta | 36 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 160:143 | 69 |
| 4 | Norilsky Nickel | 36 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 136:101 | 68 |
| 5 | Yekaterinburg | 36 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 134:101 | 65 |
| 6 | Tyumen | 36 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 115:105 | 64 |
| 7 | Torpedo | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 135:112 | 63 |
| 8 | Kristall St. Petersburg | 34 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 107:122 | 50 |
| 9 | Novaja Generacija | 34 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 94:104 | 42 |
| 10 | IrAero | 34 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 101:117 | 41 |
| 11 | Fakel-GTS | 34 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 89:128 | 31 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 36 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 64:142 | 24 |
| 13 | Sibiryak | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 102:164 | 23 |
Promotion ~ SuperLiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
