Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (53/82) | 67% (50/75) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (27/38) | 54% (21/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (25/75) | 35% (29/82) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 29% (11/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 0% (0/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (80/120) | 62% (71/114) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (43/114) | 33% (40/120) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (123/234) | 47% (111/234) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (16/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 0% (0/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 42% (13/31) |
Chances of winning
Adrian Oetzbach
33.9% | Lucas Gerch
66.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adrian Oetzbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Oetzbach's form might have worsened.Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Gerch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Oetzbach than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Oetzbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Gerch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adrian Oetzbach - Lucas Gerch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.24) |
|
1.42 ↓
(1.59) |
6.4%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Oetzbach is ranked ATP: 593. Gerch is ranked ATP: 568.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gerch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gerch is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Oetzbach won against Lucas Gerch?
Adrian Oetzbach has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucas Gerch won against Adrian Oetzbach?
Lucas Gerch has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Oetzbach - Lucas Gerch were as follows:
Latest results of Adrian Oetzbach
Latest results of Lucas Gerch
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Struff J-L. (1) | Butvilas E. | |
| 2 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Potenza L. (LL) | |
| 3 | Oberleitner N. (Q) | Gea A. | |
| 4 | Alvarez Varona N. | Kym J. (7) | |
| 5 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Blanch D. (WC) | |
| 6 | Negritu Ch. | Coulibaly E. | |
| 7 | Carboni L. (Q) | Crawford O. | |
| 8 | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | Landaluce M. (5) | |
| 9 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Peniston R. | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Ramos A. (Alt) | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | |
| 11 | Barroso Campos A. (Q) | Loffhagen G. | |
| 12 | Durasovic V. | Klein L. (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Echargui M. (6) | Brancaccio R. (Q) | |
| 14 | Barton H. | Grenier H. | |
| 15 | Kuzmanov D. | Coppejans K. | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Gentzsch T. | Jarry N. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
