Result
1:3
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier South - Round 37
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Lucas L. ⚽,
- 44', 0 - 3, Cox C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 3, Hodan R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Winchester City
21.3% | Draw
22.1% | Merthyr Town
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Winchester City - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.28 ↓
(4.94) |
4.13 ↓
(4.43) |
1.61 ↑
(1.5) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 2.
- Recent matches Winchester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Merthyr in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Merthyr is a favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Winchester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 2.2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Winchester City won against Merthyr Town?
Winchester City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Winchester City?
Merthyr Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winchester City - Merthyr Town were as follows:
24.09.2024
Merthyr Town
-
Winchester City
3:1
16.04.2024
Winchester City
-
Merthyr Town
2:0
24.10.2023
Merthyr Town
-
Winchester City
1:2
04.02.2023
Winchester City
-
Merthyr Town
2:2
27.09.2022
Merthyr Town
-
Winchester City
5:2
Latest results of Winchester City
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 76:28 | 48 | 73 |
| 2 | Gloucester | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 72:42 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Poole | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Farnham | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 68:36 | 32 | 55 |
| 5 | Sholing | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 56:42 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Gosport | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Chertsey | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 45:34 | 11 | 48 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 9 | Havant & W | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 57:54 | 3 | 44 |
| 10 | Bracknell | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:58 | -7 | 44 |
| 11 | Uxbridge | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 43 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 37 |
| 13 | Evesham | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:45 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 42:55 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Dorchester | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 39:54 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 | Hungerford | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44:66 | -22 | 36 |
| 18 | Yate Town | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36:62 | -26 | 31 |
| 20 | Taunton | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 46:58 | -12 | 30 |
| 21 | Plymouth Parkway | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:61 | -24 | 30 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 27 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 30:68 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ National League South
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
Relegation
