Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (34/49) | 66% (35/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 53% (19/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 33% (16/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 53% (21/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (53/89) | 60% (53/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (35/88) | 40% (36/89) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (88/177) | 50% (89/177) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 50% (14/28) |
Chances of winning
Luca Castagnola
40.9% | Pietro Orlando Fellin
59.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.15) |
|
1.57
(1.57) |
7.8%
(10.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Castagnola is ranked ATP: 633. Fellin is ranked ATP: 513.
- Castagnola has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fellin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fellin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fellin could have a small edge in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Pietro Orlando Fellin?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pietro Orlando Fellin won against Luca Castagnola?
Pietro Orlando Fellin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castagnola - Pietro Orlando Fellin were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Latest results of Pietro Orlando Fellin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rodionov J. (1) | Shelbayh A. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Perez A. | Svajda T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Artnak B. (Q) | Tokuda R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bondioli F. (NG) | Popko D. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Hassan B. (4) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sekulic P. (PR) | Banerjee S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Zink T. | Braswell M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Rybakov A. | Monday J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (5) | Martin A. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Rosenkranz M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Ilagan A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Chan D. (WC) | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zheng M. (7) | Tarvet O. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Wallin O. (Q) | Damm M. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Masur D. (Q) | Krueger M. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouzige M. | Cassone M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Shelbayh A. | Perez A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Artnak B. | Popko D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hassan B. (4) | Banerjee S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zink T. | Monday J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mejia N. (5) | Rosenkranz M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Zheng M. (7) | Wallin O. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Krueger M. | Cassone M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shelbayh A. | Popko D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Banerjee S. | Zink T. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mejia N. (5) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zheng M. (7) | Krueger M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Shelbayh A. | Zink T. | |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Zheng M. (7) | |
Final
