Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 3.16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.33% (2/24) | 0% (0/35) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (35/35) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 02:35, Nieminen D. (2 min),
- 02:58, 1 - 0, Kettunen A. (G),
- 08:32, Kousa M. (2 min),
- 16:24, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 00:43, Landen A. (2 min),
- 08:43, Teutari E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:31, Stapley B. (2 min),
- 04:30, Munkki V. (2 min),
- 07:37, Reunanen T. (2 min),
- 16:55, Dudas A. (2 min),
- 19:05, 2 - 0, Vaananen M. (G), Dudas A. (A),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
41.6% | Draw
25.6% | TPS
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Pelicans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Pelicans - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24
(2.24) |
3.61 ↓
(3.94) |
2.85 ↑
(2.69) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
- Pelicans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- TPS's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Pelicans will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 52:50. (average 2.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against TPS?
Pelicans has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Pelicans?
TPS has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - TPS were as follows:
23.01.2026
TPS
-
Pelicans
3:4
25.10.2025
Pelicans
-
TPS
1:2
17.09.2025
TPS
-
Pelicans
3:1
15.03.2025
Pelicans
-
TPS
3:4
18.01.2025
TPS
-
Pelicans
3:2
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
