Result
3:2
05/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 9
- Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (506/586) | 75% (204/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (506/586) | 75% (204/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 59% (41/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (92/135) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 3.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, So S. ⚽, Ryter Y. (A),
- 24', Dabanli B. 🟨,
- 29', Simani D. 🟨,
- 34', Seiler S. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Dantas Fernandes R. ⚽, Campos A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 1, Seiler S. ⚽,
- 54', Volkart D. ↓, Kamberi F. ↑,
- 54', So S. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
- 54', De Carvalho F. ↓, Schmidt J. ↑,
- 61', Monsberger M. ↓, De Donno J. ↑,
- 61', Mack L. ↓, Gasser C. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 1, Dantas Fernandes R. ⚽, Seiler S. (A),
- 72', Hoxha F. ↓, Schwizer D. ↑,
- 72', Campos A. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
- 76', Dabanli B. ↓, Saliji R. ↑,
- 76', Saliji R. 🟨,
- 79', Ryter Y. ↓, Pousa R. ↑,
- 81', Schwizer D. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 2, Schmidt J. ⚽,
- 82', Hammerich M. ↓, Di Giusto N. ↑,
- 86', De Donno J. 🟨,
- 89', Saliji R. (Pen),
- 90+2', Kamberi F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vaduz
51.2% | Draw
25.1% | Rapperswil-Jona
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vaduz's form might have worsened.Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaduz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Vaduz - Rapperswil-Jona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.58) |
3.65 ↓
(4.25) |
3.89 ↓
(4.76) |
7.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vaduz - Rapperswil-Jona?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vaduz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 2.
- Vaduz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rapperswil has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Vaduz is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vaduz: Eberhard M.
(Inactive)
Sawadogo M.
(Inactive)
Schwizer D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Marchand Y.
(Inactive)
Padula Lenna G.
(Red Card)
Ribeiro A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaduz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 3.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Vaduz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Vaduz?
Rapperswil-Jona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaduz - Rapperswil-Jona were as follows:
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Vaduz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:21 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
