Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 8
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.01
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
84% (329/393)79% (263/332)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.01
xG on target (xGOT)
3.100.98
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
84% (329/393)79% (263/332)
Long passes
40% (19/47)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)63% (57/90)
Crosses
21% (5/24)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.66
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1517
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
1533
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.983.10
Goals prevented
-1.021.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Hagi I. ,
  • 16', Akdag U. 🟨,
  • 22', Niang M. 🟨,
  • 27', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
  • 45+3', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Onyekuru H. , Mimaroglu M. ,
  • 60', Hagi I. 🟨,
  • 61', Mounie S. , Hwang Ui-Jo ,
  • 61', Dursun A. , Hanousek M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Zuzek Z. , Niang M. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 2, Hwang Ui-Jo , Hagi I. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 2, Niang M. (Pen),
  • 77', Ruan , Keskin E. ,
  • 77', Hagi I. , Elia M. ,
  • 81', Dele-Bashiru T. , Osmanoglu S. ,
  • 81', Gurpuz G. , Csoboth K. ,
  • 82', Kaya I. , Yalcin G. ,
  • 83', Makouta G. , Janvier N. ,
  • 88', Zuzek Z. , Onur S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
29.1%
Draw
28.1%
Alanyaspor
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 28.3% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 28.8% 34.7%

Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.24
(2.62)
3.34
(3.37)
2.21
(2.7)
6.1%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gençlerbirliği (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Alanyaspor (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alanyaspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 1 - 20%). Alanyaspor (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3.
    • Gençlerbirliği is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alanyaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gençlerbirliği may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Koita S. (Red Card) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury) Tongya F. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Kyabou M. (Inactive) Uzum F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
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          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig