Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (252/367) | 63% (194/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (252/367) | 63% (194/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (32/89) | 38% (31/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (59/109) | 53% (63/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 66% (19/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 80 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Meichtry F. ⚽, Matoshi V. (A),
- 33', Burki M. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 1, Vandermersch H. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Ibayi C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Bamert J. 🟨,
- 60', Vladi S. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
- 68', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
- 70', Matoshi V. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 70', Meichtry F. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 75', Okoroji C. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
- 75', Vogt A. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
- 76', Witzig C. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,
- 80', Rastoder E. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
- 80', Ibayi C. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 89', Kait M. 🟨,
- 89', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Franke D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Gallen
42.3% | Draw
26.2% | Thun
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-4%)
St. Gallen - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.02) |
3.61 ↓
(3.73) |
2.96 ↓
(3.41) |
6.1%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Thun?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Thun will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 3.
- St. Gallen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Thun is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, St. Gallen has had a series of away games.
- St. Gallen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S.
(Muscle Injury)
Daschner L.
(Knee Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Gallen: Okoroji C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Thun?
St. Gallen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against St. Gallen?
Thun has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Thun were as follows:
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Basel | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 5 | Zurich | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Luzern | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Lugano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Lausanne | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Servette | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
