Maximus Jones vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats


Aces
1	0
Double Faults
0	4
1st Serve Percentage
63%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
35% (11/31)	60% (18/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
17% (3/18)	47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
27% (3/11)	70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
40% (12/30)	65% (20/31)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (10/19)	83% (15/18)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)	73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
29% (14/49)	55% (27/49)
Return Points Won
45% (22/49)	71% (35/49)
Total Points Won
37% (36/98)	63% (62/98)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
0% (0/8)	57% (4/7)
Return Games Won
43% (3/7)	100% (8/8)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)	80% (12/15)

Chances of winning

Maximus Jones
41.1%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximus Jones's form might have worsened.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximus Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maximus Jones - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.83)		1.59 ↓ (1.83)	6.9% (9.3%)

Preview Facts

Jones is ranked ATP: 367. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 807.
In recent matches, Jones has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aguilar Cardozo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Aguilar Cardozo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Maximus Jones won against Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo?

Maximus Jones has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won against Maximus Jones?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Maximus Jones - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo were as follows:

Latest results of Maximus Jones

28.09.2025 Maximus Jones - Nicolas Villalon 2:1 ✺

22.09.2025 Maximus Jones - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 0:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Maximus Jones - Fernando Cavallo 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Maximus Jones 2:0 ✺

15.09.2025 Maximus Jones - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

28.09.2025 Lucio Ratti - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 0:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Filip Jeff Planinsek - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Canceled ✺

12.09.2025 Bor Artnak - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 2:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/16-finals

1	Nava E. (1)	Pucinelli de Almeida M.	2 : 0
2	Gomez F. A.	Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)	2 : 0
3	Soto M.	Reis Da Silva J.	0 : 2
4	Bagnis F. (WC)	Maestrelli F. (5)	2 : 1
5	Dellien H. (3)	Guillen Meza A.	1 : 2
6	Pacheco Mendez R.	Boscardin Dias P. (Alt)	2 : 0
7	Kicker N.	Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)	0 : 2
8	Torres J. B. (Q)	Neumayer L. (7)	0 : 2
9	Thanos A. (LL)	Dellien Velasco M. A.	2 : 0
10	Collarini A.	Vallejo D.	1 : 2
11	Ambrogi L. E. (Q)	Midon L.	1 : 2
12	Olivieri G. A.	Barrios Vera T. (4)	0 : 2
13	Habib H.	Sanchez Izquierdo N.	2 : 1
14	Nunez D. A. (WC)	Zarate C. M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Villanueva G. (Q)	Roncadelli F. (Q)	0 : 2
16	Torrealba B. (WC)	Garin C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Nava E. (1)	Gomez F. A.	1 : 2
2	Reis Da Silva J. (WO.)	Bagnis F.
3	Guillen Meza A.	Pacheco Mendez R.	2 : 0
4	Diaz Acosta F.	Neumayer L. (7)	2 : 0
5	Thanos A.	Vallejo D.	0 : 2
6	Midon L.	Barrios Vera T. (4)	0 : 2
7	Habib H.	Zarate C. M.	2 : 1
8	Roncadelli F.	Garin C. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Gomez F. A.	Reis Da Silva J.	0 : 2
2	Guillen Meza A.	Diaz Acosta F.	1 : 2
3	Vallejo D.	Barrios Vera T. (4)	2 : 0
4	Habib H.	Garin C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Reis Da Silva J.	Diaz Acosta F.	1 : 2
2	Vallejo D.	Garin C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Diaz Acosta F.

Garin C. (2)

1 : 2