Federico Bondioli vs Dmitry Popko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Tiburon Challenger Men Federico Bondioli - Dmitry Popko
Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 17:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
69%62%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (34/63)78% (43/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (16/28)44% (15/34)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
22% (12/55)46% (29/63)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (19/34)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)38% (5/13)
Service Points Won
55% (50/91)65% (58/89)
Return Points Won
35% (31/89)45% (41/91)
Total Points Won
45% (81/180)55% (99/180)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
39% (11/28)61% (17/28)

Chances of winning


Federico Bondioli
34.3%
Dmitry Popko
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Bondioli's form might have worsened.
  • Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dmitry Popko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dmitry Popko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Federico Bondioli - Dmitry Popko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.25)

    1.47
    (1.57)
    1.2%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bondioli is ranked ATP: 389. Popko is ranked ATP: 214.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Popko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Dmitry Popko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Shelbayh A. (SE)0 : 2
    2Perez A.Svajda T. (WC)2 : 0
    3Artnak B. (Q)Tokuda R. (Q)2 : 1
    4Bondioli F. (NG)Popko D. (6)1 : 2
    5Hassan B. (4)Johns G.2 : 0
    6Sekulic P. (PR)Banerjee S. (WC)1 : 2
    7Zink T.Braswell M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Rybakov A.Monday J. (8)1 : 2
    9Mejia N. (5)Martin A.2 : 1
    10Rosenkranz M.Gengel M.2 : 0
    11Jodar R.Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Chan D. (WC)Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Zheng M. (7)Tarvet O. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Wallin O. (Q)Damm M.2 : 1
    15Masur D. (Q)Krueger M.1 : 2
    16Bouzige M.Cassone M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Perez A.2 : 1
    2Artnak B.Popko D. (6)0 : 2
    3Hassan B. (4)Banerjee S.0 : 2
    4Zink T.Monday J. (8)2 : 0
    5Mejia N. (5)Rosenkranz M.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Pinnington Jones J. (3)2 : 0
    7Zheng M. (7)Wallin O.2 : 0
    8Krueger M.Cassone M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    2Banerjee S.Zink T.1 : 2
    3Mejia N. (5)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Zheng M. (7)Krueger M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Zink T.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Zheng M. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zink T.Zheng M. (7)0 : 2