Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
814
Corner Kicks
69
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
919
Shots on target
814
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Smoczynski M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kolanko K. , Zawada O. ,
  • 46', Takac D. , Sitek M. ,
  • 46', Szumilas W. , Urynowicz M. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Kizyma M. ,
  • 48', Majsterek J. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Gorski M. ,
  • 60', Zalewski S. , Rychert K. ,
  • 60', Smoczynski M. , Stanek M. ,
  • 69', Niedzielski J. , Steblecki S. ,
  • 69', Kumoch K. , Dziedzic K. ,
  • 75', Zawada O. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Stanek M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Rychert K. ,
  • 90+5', Biernat M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Kizyma M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
37.7%
Draw
28.3%
Warta Poznań
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.1% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.8% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.
  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warta Poznań's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warta Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (1.98)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    2.77
    (3.21)
    5.9%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 1.
    • Podbeskidzie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Warta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Podbeskidzie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Warta has had a series of home games.
    • Podbeskidzie could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice26174554:342055
    2Ol. Grudziadz26148454:312350
    3Warta Poznan25139343:281548
    4Sandecja Nowy S26119640:32842
    5Podhale Nowy Targ251011432:24841
    6Swit Szczecin26117843:42140
    7Podbeskidzie26116948:381039
    8Chojniczanka26107940:34637
    9Slask Wroclaw II25106945:37836
    10S. Wola26712743:36733
    11R. Rzeszow2689935:37-233
    12Hutnik Krakow26881035:34132
    13Kleczew25871042:40231
    14Bielsko-Biala26791035:41-630
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec26761330:51-2127
    16KKS Kalisz26591227:42-1524
    17LKS Lodz II26481426:49-2320
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 26071918:60-426

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to