Lilian Marmousez vs Marco Cecchinato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Braga Challenger Men Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
57%64%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (40/64)69% (46/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (23/48)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
31% (21/67)38% (24/64)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)52% (25/48)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
56% (63/112)60% (62/104)
Return Points Won
40% (42/104)44% (49/112)
Total Points Won
49% (105/216)51% (111/216)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Lilian Marmousez
49.2%
Marco Cecchinato
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.96)

    1.84
    (1.72)
    6.4%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marmousez is ranked ATP: 359. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 275.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cecchinato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lilian Marmousez
    21.09.2025 Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez Marmousez L. retired
    03.09.2025 Niklas Schell - Lilian Marmousez Marmousez L. retired
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (LL)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    3Houkes M. (RET.) (LL)Kolar Z.0 : 0
    4Travaglia S.Faria J. (5)0 : 2
    5Marmousez L. (Q)Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    6Gadamauri B. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pereira T. (WC)Trungelliti M. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Ingildsen J. (Q)0 : 2
    10Rocha F. (WC)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Clarke J.Rocha H.0 : 2
    12Ymer E. (RET.)Moller E. (4)0 : 0
    13Lajovic D. (6)Rincon D.2 : 0
    14Mikrut L.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    15Ferreira Silva F.Nagal S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torres T. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Barranco Cosano J.
    2Kolar Z.Faria J. (5)
    3Cecchinato M.Gaubas V.
    4Squire H.Trungelliti M. (8)
    5Ingildsen J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    6Rocha H.Moller E. (4)1 : 2
    7Lajovic D. (6)Mikrut L.0 : 2
    8Nagal S.Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Moro Canas A.Moller E. (4)
    4Mikrut L.Nagal S.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2