Result
1:2
24/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Tajikistan | Varzish Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (295/390) | 86% (459/532) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (295/390) | 86% (459/532) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (23/74) | 62% (31/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (45/70) | 78% (144/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Drazic D. ⚽,
- 29', Pandzhshanbe E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Turkaj R. ↓, Nazarov A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Komolafe P. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, Juraboev A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Vishwas P. ↓, Fernandes B. ↑,
- 59', Patre H. ↓, Rabeeh A K A. ↑,
- 70', Kurbonov S. 🟨,
- 73', Singh B. 🟨,
- 75', Kurbonov S. 🟨,
- 77', Soirov R. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
- 82', Nemil M. ↓, Yasir M. ↑,
- 86', Haghnazari S. ↓, Sulaymonov S. ↑,
- 90+2', Singh B. ↓, Malsawmtluanga L. ↑,
- 90+3', Tamang N. ↓, Carvalho S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4euxj78a
Chances of winning
Goa
21.8% | Draw
21.4% | Istiklol Dushanbe
56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goa's form might have worsened.Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Istiklol Dushanbe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goa than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istiklol Dushanbe than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Istiklol Dushanbe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Goa - Istiklol Dushanbe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.22 ↑
(2.69) |
4.31 ↑
(3.85) |
1.62 ↓
(2.24) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Goa - Istiklol Dushanbe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Istiklol (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Istiklol Dushanbe will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istiklol Dushanbe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Istiklol (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Istiklol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Goa won against Istiklol Dushanbe?
Goa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istiklol Dushanbe won against Goa?
Istiklol Dushanbe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Goa - Istiklol Dushanbe were as follows:
01.10.2025
Istiklol Dushanbe
-
Goa
2:0
Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Zawraa | Al Wasl | 2 : 4, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Arkadag | Al Nassr | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sepahan | Al Ahli Doha | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Esteghlal F.C. | Al Hussein | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Persib Bandung | 0 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | Macarthur FC | 2 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cong An Ha Noi | Tampines | 1 : 3, 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Wasl | Al Nassr | |
| 2 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Hussein | |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | Ratchaburi | |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | Tampines | |
Semi-finalsFinal
