Rafael Jodar vs Andre Ilagan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Tiburon Challenger Men Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan
Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
100
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
60%66%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (37/50)57% (37/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (17/34)53% (18/34)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
43% (28/65)28% (14/50)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (16/34)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
64% (54/84)56% (55/99)
Return Points Won
44% (44/99)36% (30/84)
Total Points Won
54% (98/183)46% (85/183)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


Rafael Jodar
72.6%
Andre Ilagan
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.36)

    3.41
    (3)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jodar is ranked ATP: 306. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 410.
    • Jodar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ilagan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Latest results of Andre Ilagan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Shelbayh A. (SE)0 : 2
    2Perez A.Svajda T. (WC)2 : 0
    3Artnak B. (Q)Tokuda R. (Q)2 : 1
    4Bondioli F. (NG)Popko D. (6)1 : 2
    5Hassan B. (4)Johns G.2 : 0
    6Sekulic P. (PR)Banerjee S. (WC)1 : 2
    7Zink T.Braswell M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Rybakov A.Monday J. (8)1 : 2
    9Mejia N. (5)Martin A.2 : 1
    10Rosenkranz M.Gengel M.2 : 0
    11Jodar R.Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Chan D. (WC)Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Zheng M. (7)Tarvet O. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Wallin O. (Q)Damm M.2 : 1
    15Masur D. (Q)Krueger M.1 : 2
    16Bouzige M.Cassone M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Perez A.2 : 1
    2Artnak B.Popko D. (6)0 : 2
    3Hassan B. (4)Banerjee S.0 : 2
    4Zink T.Monday J. (8)2 : 0
    5Mejia N. (5)Rosenkranz M.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Pinnington Jones J. (3)2 : 0
    7Zheng M. (7)Wallin O.2 : 0
    8Krueger M.Cassone M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    2Banerjee S.Zink T.1 : 2
    3Mejia N. (5)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Zheng M. (7)Krueger M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Zink T.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Zheng M. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zink T.Zheng M. (7)0 : 2