Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Pienkowski M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ząbkovia Ząbki
65.3%
Draw
19.5%
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 19.9% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 18.9% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ząbkovia Ząbki's performance.
  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.51)
    4.77
    (4.5)
    6.1
    (4.33)
    7.6%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 8).
    • Ząbkovia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ząbkovia is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Ząbkovia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ząbkovia Ząbki
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II19152256:193747
    2Warta Sieradz18132333:141941
    3LKS Lomza19124345:192640
    4Zabki19122556:302638
    5Suwalki19113534:241036
    6Plock II1893632:28430
    7Bron Radom1976626:32-627
    8Swit Mazowiecki1983831:36-527
    9Troszyn1974845:331225
    10T. Mazowiecki1973934:31324
    11Olimpia Elblag1866629:33-424
    12Widzew Lodz II1863933:47-1421
    13Jagiellonia II1955920:29-920
    14GKS Belchatow1955934:44-1020
    15Mlawa19451028:39-1117
    16Wikielec1735916:28-1214
    17Wasilkow18411316:40-2413
    18Biala Piska18121512:54-425

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation