Result
2:0
02/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (35/45) | 69% (27/39) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 55% (18/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 27% (12/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 67% (2/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 78% (14/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (44/66) | 63% (45/72) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (27/72) | 33% (22/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (71/138) | 49% (67/138) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 18% (2/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
60.1% | Rei Sakamoto
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-4%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.48) |
|
2.37 ↓
(2.67) |
5.6%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 1 - 50%). Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 73. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 190.
- Arnaldi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sakamoto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Arnaldi could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Rei Sakamoto?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rei Sakamoto won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Rei Sakamoto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Moutet C. (33) | Bye | |
| 2 | Tien L. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cazaux A. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Norrie C. (30) | |
| 5 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Wu Y. (RET.) (WC) | Svrcina D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Medvedev D. (16) | |
| 9 | Khachanov K. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Vukic A. (LL) | |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Atmane T. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (7) | |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Royer V. (Q) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Rinderknech A. | Medjedovic H. (RET.) | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Michelsen A. (28) | |
| 21 | Shapovalov D. (23) | Bye | |
| 22 | Dzumhur D. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | McDonald M. (LL) | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Lehecka J. (15) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | Bye | |
| 26 | Giron M. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Zhou Y. (WC) | De Jong J. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Mensik J. (17) | |
| 29 | Darderi L. (26) | Bye | |
| 30 | Bu Y. | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Comesana F. | Blanchet U. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (8) | |
| 33 | Shelton B. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Goffin D. | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Opelka R. | Bonzi B. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Diallo G. (31) | |
| 37 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bye | |
| 38 | Mannarino A. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Korda S. | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (11) | |
| 41 | Rublev A. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Nishioka Y. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Munar J. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Cobolli F. (22) | |
| 45 | Tiafoe F. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Sonego L. | Hanfmann Y. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Cilic M. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | Fritz T. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Ofner S. (PR) | Nardi L. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | |
| 53 | Humbert U. (21) | Bye | |
| 54 | Thompson J. | Holmgren A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Zhang Z. (WC) | Baez S. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Rune H. (10) | |
| 57 | Bublik A. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Djere L. | Vacherot V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Walton A. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Machac T. (20) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Brooksby J. (PR) | Trotter J. K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Moutet C. (33) | Tien L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cazaux A. | Norrie C. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svrcina D. | Medvedev D. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (9) | Shang J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Borges N. | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (29) | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ugo Carabelli C. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Rinderknech A. | Michelsen A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shapovalov D. (23) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Halys Q. | Lehecka J. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | De Jong J. | Mensik J. (17) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Darderi L. (26) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Comesana F. | Musetti L. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Shelton B. (6) | Goffin D. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Bonzi B. | Diallo G. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bergs Z. | Ruud C. (RET.) (11) | 1 : 1 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Nishioka Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Munar J. | Cobolli F. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Tiafoe F. (25) | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Cilic M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Fritz T. (5) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Nardi L. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Humbert U. (21) | Thompson J. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Baez S. | Rune H. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Bublik A. (14) | Vacherot V. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bellucci M. | Machac T. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (27) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Altmaier D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Tien L. | Norrie C. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Medvedev D. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shang J. | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Majchrzak K. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Shapovalov D. (23) | Lehecka J. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (26) | Musetti L. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Goffin D. (RET.) | Diallo G. (31) | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Nishioka Y. | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Hanfmann Y. | Djokovic N. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Fritz T. (5) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Humbert U. (21) | Rune H. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Vacherot V. | Machac T. (RET.) (20) | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Griekspoor T. (27) | Sinner J. (RET.) (2) | 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Tien L. | Medvedev D. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. | Lehecka J. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Diallo G. (31) | Bergs Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Djokovic N. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | Rune H. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Vacherot V. | Griekspoor T. (27) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Medvedev D. (16) | De Minaur A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rinderknech A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bergs Z. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rune H. (10) | Vacherot V. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Medvedev D. (16) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rinderknech A. | Vacherot V. | 1 : 2 |
