Result
1:1
30/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Can Koc S. ⚽, Toprak O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', 1 - 1, Karaahmet M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aliaga
41.9% | Draw
28% | Muş Spor
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Muş Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aliaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muş Spor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Aliaga - Muş Spor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.01) |
3.23 ↓
(3.57) |
3 ↓
(3.25) |
10.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Aliaga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aliaga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Aliaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aliaga won against Muş Spor?
Aliaga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muş Spor won against Aliaga?
Muş Spor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aliaga - Muş Spor were as follows:
14.02.2026
Aliaga
-
Muş Spor
4:0
05.10.2025
Muş Spor
-
Aliaga
2:2
Latest results of Muş Spor
Draw
2025/26Quarter-finals| 1 | Mardin 1969 | K. u0130stiklalspor | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Aliaga | Musspor | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Elazigspor | Adana | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Muglaspor | Sanliurfaspor | 1 : 0 |
