Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, D'Ausilio M. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 45+4', Riccardi P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Di Paolo S. ⚽,
- 62', Caturano S. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
- 64', Contini G. ↓, Puzone M. ↑,
- 66', Jimenez K. 🟨,
- 69', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
- 71', Puzone M. 🟨,
- 77', Marafini A. 🟨,
- 83', Riccardi P. ↓, Simonetta J. ↑,
- 84', Jimenez K. ↓, Forte F. ↑,
- 90+2', Arditi G. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
- 90+2', Frisenna G. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
- 90+11', Casasola T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Siracusa
17.6% | Draw
25.6% | Catania
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Siracusa - Catania Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.21 ↑
(4.93) |
3.58 ↑
(3.38) |
1.61 ↓
(1.69) |
9.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 1.
- Siracusa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Catania is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Siracusa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Siracusa won against Catania?
Siracusa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against Siracusa?
Catania has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Siracusa - Catania were as follows:
05.10.2025
Catania
-
Siracusa
2:0
Latest results of Siracusa
Latest results of Catania
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:24 | 47 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:21 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 65 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 63 |
| 5 | Cosenza | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 55:36 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Crotone | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 7 | Casarano ✔ | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 51:55 | -4 | 53 |
| 8 | Monopoli ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 52 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Potenza | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51:53 | -2 | 47 |
| 11 | Altamura | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 44 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 51:48 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Cavese | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | Sorrento | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 38:54 | -16 | 37 |
| 15 | Picerno | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Latina | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 | Foggia | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27:56 | -29 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45:54 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Trapani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
