Defensor Sporting vs Central Español – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
49.7%
Draw
28.1%
Central Español
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 28.9% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Central Español Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.98)
    3.3
    (3.23)
    4.17
    (3.9)
    7.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Defensor Sporting might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Central Español were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Defensor Sporting - Central Español 2:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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