Jesper De Jong vs Jakub Mensik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Jesper De Jong - Jakub Mensik
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1317
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
62%66%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (53/63)75% (50/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (19/38)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
25% (17/67)16% (10/63)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (17/35)50% (19/38)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)50% (2/4)
Net Points Won
62% (16/26)63% (20/32)
Service Points Won
71% (72/101)67% (68/102)
Return Points Won
33% (34/102)29% (29/101)
Total Points Won
52% (106/203)48% (97/203)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Jesper De Jong
35%
Jakub Mensik
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 72.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.
  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jesper De Jong - Jakub Mensik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.36)

    1.46
    (1.34)
    5.4%
    (4.4%)
    What is the prediction for Jesper De Jong - Jakub Mensik?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mensik will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mensik (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • De Jong is ranked ATP: 79. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • De Jong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mensik is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    29.09.2025 Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik Mensik J. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeVukic A. (LL)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.
    6Borges N.Vukic A.
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)2 : 0
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)2 : 1
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (RET.) (11)1 : 1
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)2 : 0
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (18)TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Majchrzak K.De Minaur A. (7)
    5Zverev A. (3)Rinderknech A.
    6Shapovalov D. (23)Lehecka J. (15)
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (12)De Jong J.
    8TBD #15Musetti L. (8)
    9Goffin D.Diallo G. (31)
    10Cerundolo F. (19)Bergs Z.
    11Nishioka Y.Munar J.
    12Hanfmann Y.Djokovic N. (4)
    13Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)
    15Vacherot V.Machac T. (20)
    16Griekspoor T. (27)TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2