Katharina Hobgarski vs Tena Lukas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W35 Santa Margherita Di Pula 9 Women Katharina Hobgarski - Tena Lukas
03/10/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Katharina Hobgarski
61.2%
Tena Lukas
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katharina Hobgarski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katharina Hobgarski's form might have worsened.
  • Tena Lukas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tena Lukas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katharina Hobgarski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tena Lukas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Katharina Hobgarski - Tena Lukas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.37)

    2.43
    (2.99)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hobgarski is ranked WTA: 298. Lukas is ranked WTA: 433.
    • Hobgarski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lukas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Hobgarski is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hobgarski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Katharina Hobgarski
    Latest results of Tena Lukas
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Hobgarski K. (1)Basiletti N.2 : 0
    2Hennemann C. W.Taraba Wallberg N.1 : 2
    3Ganz F.Lukas T.0 : 2
    4Ekshibarova V.Stoiber R. A. (8)0 : 2
    5Diaz Adrover C. (4)Pistola I.2 : 0
    6Petkovic A.Naito Y.2 : 0
    7Cakarevic S.Stusek J.1 : 2
    8Bilardo F.Mintegi Del Olmo A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zaar L. (5)Ruggeri J.0 : 2
    10Lene E.Maduzzi G.1 : 2
    11Pieroni S.Turini V.0 : 2
    12Serban I. M.De Stefano S. (3)0 : 2
    13Schmidt A. (6)Ivanova I.2 : 0
    14Topalova G.Ricci B.0 : 2
    15Sara A.Lombardini M.0 : 2
    16Ganja A.Pedone G. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Hobgarski K. (1)Taraba Wallberg N.2 : 1
    2Lukas T.Stoiber R. A. (8)2 : 0
    3Diaz Adrover C. (4)Petkovic A.0 : 2
    4Stusek J.Mintegi Del Olmo A. (7)2 : 0
    5Ruggeri J.Maduzzi G.2 : 0
    6Turini V.De Stefano S. (3)0 : 2
    7Schmidt A. (6)Ricci B.2 : 0
    8Lombardini M.Pedone G. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Hobgarski K. (1)Lukas T.
    2Petkovic A.Stusek J.0 : 2
    3Ruggeri J.De Stefano S. (3)2 : 1
    4Schmidt A. (6)Pedone G. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Stusek J.
    2Ruggeri J.Schmidt A. (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2