Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Facundo Diaz Acosta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Antofagasta Challenger Men Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta
Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
65%72%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (38/62)75% (49/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (12/33)40% (10/25)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
25% (16/65)42% (26/62)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (15/25)64% (21/33)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
53% (50/95)66% (59/90)
Return Points Won
34% (31/90)47% (45/95)
Total Points Won
44% (81/185)56% (104/185)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
36% (10/28)64% (18/28)

Chances of winning


Alvaro Guillen Meza
34.8%
Facundo Diaz Acosta
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Guillen Meza's form might have worsened.
  • Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.21)

    1.44
    (1.62)
    6.5%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 226. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 268.
    • Guillen Meza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Diaz Acosta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Diaz Acosta might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 0
    3Soto M.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    4Bagnis F. (WC)Maestrelli F. (5)2 : 1
    5Dellien H. (3)Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Boscardin Dias P. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Kicker N.Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Torres J. B. (Q)Neumayer L. (7)0 : 2
    9Thanos A. (LL)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    10Collarini A.Vallejo D.1 : 2
    11Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Midon L.1 : 2
    12Olivieri G. A.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    13Habib H.Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    14Nunez D. A. (WC)Zarate C. M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torrealba B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    2Reis Da Silva J. (WO.)Bagnis F.
    3Guillen Meza A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Diaz Acosta F.Neumayer L. (7)2 : 0
    5Thanos A.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    6Midon L.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    7Habib H.Zarate C. M.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gomez F. A.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    2Guillen Meza A.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    4Habib H.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    2Vallejo D.Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Diaz Acosta F.Garin C. (2)