Germany vs Luxembourg, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Germany - Luxembourg
Result
4:0
10/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, V Sport Premium
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
germanyGermanyARD, Das Erste, Joyn, ProSieben Maxx
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
luxembourgLuxembourgRTL, RTL
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.900.03
Ball Possession
84%16%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
91% (736/809)56% (87/154)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.900.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.660.21
Total shots
311
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
170
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
100
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
651
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
510
Passes
91% (736/809)56% (87/154)
Long passes
71% (17/24)31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
86% (398/464)30% (10/33)
Crosses
31% (10/32)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.800.03
Throw-ins
249
Fouls
105
Tackles
40% (4/10)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3234
Clearances
547
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.212.66
Goals prevented
0.21-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Raum D. ,
  • 20', Carlson D. 🟥,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Kimmich J. (Pen),
  • 34', Strasser J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Schlotterbeck N. , Anton W. ,
  • 46', Bohnert F. , Veiga E. ,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Gnabry S. ,
  • 50', 4 - 0, Kimmich J. ,
  • 60', Martins C. 🟨,
  • 61', Woltemade N. , Burkardt J. ,
  • 61', Adeyemi K. , Baku R. ,
  • 67', Dardari A. , Selimovic V. ,
  • 67', de Sousa T. , Thill O. ,
  • 68', Gnabry S. , Beier M. ,
  • 78', Martins C. , Thill S. ,
  • 82', Raum D. , Brown N. ,
  • 87', Olesen M. , Dzogovic E. ,

Chances of winning


Germany
92.9%
Draw
5.5%
Luxembourg
1.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
89.5% 7.8% 2.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Germany - Luxembourg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.04
    (1.05)
    17.94
    (12)
    62.45
    (35)
    3%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for Germany - Luxembourg?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 67.8%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Germany is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Germany
    07.09.2025 Germany - Northern Ireland 3:1
    04.09.2025 Slovakia - Germany 2:0
    08.06.2025 Germany - France 0:2
    04.06.2025 Germany - Portugal 1:2
    23.03.2025 Germany - Italy 3:3
    Latest results of Luxembourg
    07.09.2025 Luxembourg - Slovakia 0:1
    10.06.2025 Luxembourg - Ireland 0:0
    06.06.2025 Luxembourg - Slovenia 0:1
    25.03.2025 Switzerland - Luxembourg 3:1
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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