9 de Julio vs Germinal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
12/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
193
Corner Kicks
70
Total shots
278
Shots on target
193
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ibanez M. (Pen),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Peralta B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 63', 3 - 0, Abondetto R. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Del Sole N. ,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Bonilla T. ,

Chances of winning


9 de Julio
68.8%
Draw
22.4%
Germinal
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 23.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.3% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • 9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.
  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Julio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Germinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • 9 de Julio - Germinal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.48)
    4.1
    (3.85)
    10.51
    (5.75)
    8.7%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, 9 de Julio is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, 9 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between 9 de Julio - Germinal were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Germinal - 9 de Julio 1:1
    Latest results of 9 de Julio
    Latest results of Germinal
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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