AP Brera Strumica vs Bashkimi Kumanovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football North Macedonian 1 MFL AP Brera Strumica - Bashkimi Kumanovo
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 🟨,
  • 28', 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45+4', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


AP Brera Strumica
22.3%
Draw
28.5%
Bashkimi Kumanovo
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.4% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AP Brera Strumica's form might have worsened.
  • Bashkimi Kumanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bashkimi Kumanovo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AP Brera Strumica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bashkimi Kumanovo than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bashkimi Kumanovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AP Brera Strumica - Bashkimi Kumanovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.43
    (2.2)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.01
    (2.75)
    1.3%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of AP Brera Strumica
    Latest results of Bashkimi Kumanovo
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Struga972022:51723
    2Vardar963022:101221
    3Shkendija963015:41121
    4Sileks960318:81018
    5Bashkimi1053216:13318
    6Makedonija GP940512:13-112
    7Brera Strumica933311:16-512
    8Arsimi1032517:19-211
    9Tikves102268:15-78
    10Pelister92167:18-117
    11Rabotnicki91269:16-75
    12Shkupi100197:27-201

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL