Lajense vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
94
Corner kicks
111
Red cards
01
Total shots
155
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 34', 0 - 1, ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟥,
  • 46', 1 - 2, ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Lajense
32.7%
Draw
32.5%
SB Castelo Branco
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.8% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.1% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lajense - SB Castelo Branco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.7)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    2.6
    (2.35)
    11%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lajense - SB Castelo Branco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Lajense (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lajense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, SB Castelo Branco has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lajense - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
    05.10.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Lajense 2:2
    Latest results of Lajense
    15.02.2026 Samora Correia - Lajense 2:0
    08.02.2026 Lajense - Eléctrico 4:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 24157232:102252
    2SB Castelo Branco24144641:202146
    3Naval 189324135634:231144
    4Oliveira Hospital24128434:122244
    5Uniao Da Serra24118533:221141
    6Mortagua24106821:24-336
    7Os Marialvas24105933:27635
    8Peniche24761128:39-1127
    9Fatima24681020:28-826
    10Lajense24681031:33-226
    11Marinhense24591016:30-1424
    12Samora Correia24651321:32-1123
    13Electrico ✔ 24541532:57-2519
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 24451522:41-1917

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to