Rio Noguchi vs Sergey Fomin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Rio Noguchi - Sergey Fomin
Result
1:2
06/10/2025 at 00:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
311
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
55%61%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (46/67)76% (56/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (38/54)52% (25/48)
Break Points Saved
79% (11/14)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
27% (20/74)37% (25/67)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (23/48)30% (16/54)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)21% (3/14)
Service Points Won
66% (80/121)66% (81/122)
Return Points Won
34% (41/122)34% (41/121)
Total Points Won
50% (121/243)50% (122/243)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)88% (15/17)
Return Games Won
12% (2/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
61.1%
Sergey Fomin
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.
  • Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Fomin's recent form is better than expected.
  • Rio Noguchi - Sergey Fomin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.29)

    2.6
    (3.15)
    -1.1%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219. Fomin is ranked ATP: 492.
    • In recent matches, Noguchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fomin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fomin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Noguchi is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Latest results of Sergey Fomin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.2 : 0
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.0 : 2
    4McDonald M. (6)Holt B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Mochizuki S. (7)2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.McDonald M. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)McDonald M. (6)2 : 0