Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
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Aces |
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6 | 7 |
Double Faults |
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1 | 1 |
1st Serve Percentage |
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65% | 63% |
1st Serve Points Won |
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71% (36/51) | 74% (29/39) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
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64% (18/28) | 43% (10/23) |
Break Points Saved |
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50% (2/4) | 20% (1/5) |
1st Return Points Won |
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26% (10/39) | 29% (15/51) |
2nd Return Points Won |
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57% (13/23) | 36% (10/28) |
Break Points Converted |
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80% (4/5) | 50% (2/4) |
Service Points Won |
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68% (54/79) | 63% (39/62) |
Return Points Won |
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37% (23/62) | 32% (25/79) |
Total Points Won |
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55% (77/141) | 45% (64/141) |
Last 10 Balls |
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5 | 5 |
Match Points Saved |
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0 | 0 |
Service Games Won |
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86% (12/14) | 69% (9/13) |
Return Games Won |
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31% (4/13) | 14% (2/14) |
Total Games Won |
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59% (16/27) | 41% (11/27) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta 68.1% | Hugo Grenier 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.4 ↓ (1.54) |
|
2.95 ↑ (2.39) |
5.3% (6.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Grenier will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123. Grenier is ranked ATP: 195.
- Now, both players are in good form.
- Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Hugo Grenier?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Grenier won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Hugo Grenier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier were as follows:
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Hugo Grenier
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals1 | Struff J-L. (1) | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
2 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Potenza L. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
3 | Oberleitner N. (Q) | Gea A. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Brunclik P. (Q) | Hussey G. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
5 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Blanch D. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
6 | Negritu Ch. | Coulibaly E. | 1 : 2 |
7 | Carboni L. (Q) | Crawford O. | 0 : 2 |
8 | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | Landaluce M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
9 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
10 | Ramos A. (Alt) | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
11 | Barroso Campos A. (Q) | Loffhagen G. | 0 : 2 |
12 | Durasovic V. | Klein L. (4) | 2 : 0 |
13 | Echargui M. (6) | Brancaccio R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
14 | Barton H. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
15 | Kuzmanov D. | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
16 | Gentzsch T. | Jarry N. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals1 | Butvilas E. | Potenza L. | 0 : 2 |
2 | Oberleitner N. | Brunclik P. | 0 : 2 |
3 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Crawford O. | Landaluce M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
5 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Kasnikowski M. | 2 : 0 |
6 | Loffhagen G. | Durasovic V. | 2 : 1 |
7 | Echargui M. (6) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
8 | Kuzmanov D. | Gentzsch T. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals1 | Potenza L. | Brunclik P. | 0 : 2 |
2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Landaluce M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
3 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Loffhagen G. | 2 : 1 |
4 | Grenier H. | Gentzsch T. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Brunclik P. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
2 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
Final1 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Grenier H. | 2 : 1 |