Mackenzie McDonald vs Harold Mayot – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot
Result
2:0
07/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
61%55%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (29/40)72% (31/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (13/26)29% (10/35)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
40% (17/43)28% (11/40)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (25/35)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
64% (41/64)53% (41/78)
Return Points Won
47% (37/78)36% (23/64)
Total Points Won
55% (78/142)45% (64/142)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
59.3%
Harold Mayot
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.
  • Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harold Mayot's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harold Mayot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.41)

    2.33
    (2.77)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Mayot will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 50%). Mayot (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 99. Mayot is ranked ATP: 172.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • McDonald could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Latest results of Harold Mayot
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.2 : 0
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.0 : 2
    4McDonald M. (6)Holt B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Mochizuki S. (7)2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.McDonald M. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)McDonald M. (6)2 : 0