Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Strawweight UFC Women Julia Polastri - Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Result
Polastri J. - 3rd Round TKO
11/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • STRAWWEIGHT - WOMEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1

Chances of winning


Julia Polastri
82.7%
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 76.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Julia Polastri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+59.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Polastri's performance.
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-59.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Kowalkiewicz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Julia Polastri - Karolina Kowalkiewicz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (4.04)

    5.32
    (1.25)
    4.3%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Polastri is the undisputed favorite.
    • The fighters have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Julia Polastri
    29.03.2025 Lupita Godinez - Julia Polastri Godinez L. win
    12.10.2024 Julia Polastri - Cory McKenna Polastri J. win
    15.06.2024 Josefine Knutsson - Julia Polastri Knutsson J. win
    23.03.2024 Stephanie Luciano - Julia Polastri Canceled
    02.03.2024 Josefine Knutsson - Julia Polastri Canceled
    Latest results of Karolina Kowalkiewicz
    09.11.2024 Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Denise Gomes Gomes D. win
    04.05.2024 Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Iasmin Lucindo Lucindo I. win
    07.10.2023 Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Diana Belbita Kowalkiewicz K. win