Vicente Luque vs Joel Alvarez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Alvarez J. win
11/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
franceFranceRMC Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Chances of winning


Vicente Luque
19.3%
Joel Alvarez
80.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 78.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vicente Luque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Joel Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Vicente Luque - Joel Alvarez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.92
    (4.44)

    1.19
    (1.22)
    4.7%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Alvarez is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.
    Latest results of Vicente Luque
    07.06.2025 Vicente Luque - Kevin Holland Holland K. - 2nd Round TKO
    07.12.2024 Vicente Luque - Themba Gorimbo Luque V. - 1st Round TKO
    07.12.2024 Vicente Luque - Nick Diaz Canceled
    03.08.2024 Vicente Luque - Nick Diaz Canceled
    31.03.2024 Vicente Luque - Joaquin Buckley Buckley J. - 2nd Round TKO
    Latest results of Joel Alvarez
    10.05.2025 Benoit Saint-Denis - Joel Alvarez Canceled
    14.12.2024 Joel Alvarez - Drakkar Klose Alvarez J. - 1st Round KO
    03.08.2024 Joel Alvarez - Elves Brener Alvarez J. - 3rd Round TKO
    27.04.2024 Joel Alvarez - Mateusz Rębecki Canceled
    02.03.2024 Joel Alvarez - Ľudovít Klein Canceled