Real Madrid vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Football UEFA Champions League Women Real Madrid - Roma
Result
6:2
08/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineSuspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.620.89
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
256
Shots on target
143
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
88% (478/544)82% (320/389)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.620.89
xG on target (xGOT)
6.550.91
Total shots
256
Shots on target
143
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
204
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
4115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
77
Passes
88% (478/544)82% (320/389)
Long passes
58% (25/43)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)55% (32/58)
Crosses
25% (4/16)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.03
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
77
Tackles
61% (11/18)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
1029
Interceptions
1219
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
110
xGOT faced
0.916.55
Goals prevented
-1.090.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Redondo A. ⚽, Lakrar M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Viens E. ⚽, Pilgrim A. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Weir C. ⚽,
  • 26', Weir C. 🟨,
  • 35', 2 - 2, Haavi E. ⚽,
  • 42', 3 - 2, Redondo A. ⚽, Caicedo L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', 4 - 2, Lakrar M. ⚽, Redondo A. (A),
  • 60', 5 - 2, Weir C. ⚽, Caicedo L. (A),
  • 60', Viens E. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
  • 60', Haavi E. ↓, Dragoni G. ↑,
  • 69', Weir C. ↓, Comendador P. ↑,
  • 69', Dabritz S. ↓, Toletti S. ↑,
  • 72', Rieke A. ↓, Kuhl K. ↑,
  • 73', 6 - 2, Navarro E. ⚽, Caicedo L. (A),
  • 77', Feller N. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
  • 77', Angeldal F. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
  • 77', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Pante M. ↑,
  • 77', Pilgrim A. ↓, Corelli A. ↑,
  • 81', Navarro E. ↓, Bejarano N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
70.7%		Draw
15.8%		Roma
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 17.9% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 17% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33 ↓
    (1.42)    		 5.79 ↑
    (5.14)    		 6.92 ↑
    (5.41)    		 6.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Roma will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 71.4% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Real Madrid has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Roma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Real Madrid is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Real Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Badalona 3:0
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    18.09.2025 Real Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Real Madrid - Madrid CFF 2:1
    Latest results of Roma
    04.10.2025 Roma - Parma 4:0
    27.09.2025 Juventus - Roma 3:2
    23.09.2025 Roma - Lazio 3:0
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Roma 0:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Roma - Sassuolo 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W11007:163
    2Atl. Madrid W11006:063
    3Real Madrid W11006:243
    4Wolfsburg W11004:043
    5Lyon W11002:113
    6Juventus W11002:113
    7Manchester Utd W11001:013
    8Leuven W10102:201
    9Paris FC W10102:201
    10Chelsea W10101:101
    11Twente W10101:101
    12SL Benfica W10011:2-10
    13Arsenal W10011:2-10
    14Valerenga W10010:1-10
    15AS Roma W10012:6-40
    16PSG W10010:4-40
    17Bayern Munich W10011:7-60
    18St. Polten W10010:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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