Real Madrid vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
08/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineSuspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.620.89
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
256
Shots on target
143
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
88% (478/544)82% (320/389)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.620.89
xG on target (xGOT)
6.550.91
Total shots
256
Shots on target
143
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
204
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
4115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
77
Passes
88% (478/544)82% (320/389)
Long passes
58% (25/43)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)55% (32/58)
Crosses
25% (4/16)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.03
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
77
Tackles
61% (11/18)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
1029
Interceptions
1219
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
110
xGOT faced
0.916.55
Goals prevented
-1.090.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Redondo A. , Lakrar M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Viens E. , Pilgrim A. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Weir C. ,
  • 26', Weir C. 🟨,
  • 35', 2 - 2, Haavi E. ,
  • 42', 3 - 2, Redondo A. , Caicedo L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', 4 - 2, Lakrar M. , Redondo A. (A),
  • 60', 5 - 2, Weir C. , Caicedo L. (A),
  • 60', Viens E. , Bergamaschi V. ,
  • 60', Haavi E. , Dragoni G. ,
  • 69', Weir C. , Comendador P. ,
  • 69', Dabritz S. , Toletti S. ,
  • 72', Rieke A. , Kuhl K. ,
  • 73', 6 - 2, Navarro E. , Caicedo L. (A),
  • 77', Feller N. , del Castillo A. ,
  • 77', Angeldal F. , Bennison H. ,
  • 77', Di Guglielmo L. , Pante M. ,
  • 77', Pilgrim A. , Corelli A. ,
  • 81', Navarro E. , Bejarano N. ,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
70.7%
Draw
15.8%
Roma
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 17.9% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 17% 16.1%

Real Madrid - Roma Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.42)
5.79
(5.14)
6.92
(5.41)
6.9%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Roma will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real Madrid has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Roma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Real Madrid is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Real Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Latest results of Roma
    04.10.2025 Roma - Parma 4:0
    27.09.2025 Juventus - Roma 3:2
    23.09.2025 Roma - Lazio 3:0
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Roma 0:2
    14.09.2025 Roma - Sassuolo 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Bayern Munich W (4)
    2TBD #3Barcelona W (1)
    3TBD #5Chelsea W (3)
    4TBD #7Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2