Warta Poznań vs Olimpia Grudziądz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz
Result
3:2
11/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
1211
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
1211
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Rychert K. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Sewerzynski O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Mas M. ,
  • 61', Rychert K. , Zalewski S. ,
  • 61', Walus F. , Dziedzic K. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Zalewski S. ,
  • 74', Lepczynski K. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Lepczynski K. ,
  • 90+4', Czajka B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
36%
Draw
28.5%
Olimpia Grudziądz
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 27.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.1% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.17)
    3.21
    (3.33)
    2.53
    (2.96)
    9.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
    • Warta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Olimpia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ol. Grudziadz1273226:161024
    2Skierniewice1271424:15922
    3Warta Poznan1264220:15522
    4Podhale Nowy Targ1256114:10421
    5R. Rzeszow1255220:14620
    6Sandecja Nowy S1153320:17318
    7Swit Szczecin1253422:22018
    8Zaglebie Sosnowiec1153317:17018
    9S. Wola1244424:21316
    10Hutnik Krakow1143420:19115
    11KKS Kalisz1243513:15-215
    12Bielsko-Biala1243515:19-415
    13Podbeskidzie1142517:19-214
    14Slask Wroclaw II1133516:17-112
    15Kleczew1233620:22-212
    16Chojniczanka1125417:23-611
    17LKS Lodz II1215611:19-88
    18GKS Jastrzebie120398:24-163

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation