Warta Poznań vs Olimpia Grudziądz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
1211
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
1211
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Rychert K. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Sewerzynski O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Mas M. ,
  • 61', Rychert K. , Zalewski S. ,
  • 61', Walus F. , Dziedzic K. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Zalewski S. ,
  • 74', Lepczynski K. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Lepczynski K. ,
  • 90+4', Czajka B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
36%
Draw
28.5%
Olimpia Grudziądz
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 27.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.1% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.17)
    3.22
    (3.33)
    2.59
    (2.96)
    8.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Olimpia (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
    • Warta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Olimpia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice26174554:342055
    2Ol. Grudziadz26148454:312350
    3Warta Poznan25139343:281548
    4Sandecja Nowy S26119640:32842
    5Podhale Nowy Targ251011432:24841
    6Swit Szczecin26117843:42140
    7Podbeskidzie26116948:381039
    8Chojniczanka26107940:34637
    9Slask Wroclaw II25106945:37836
    10S. Wola26712743:36733
    11R. Rzeszow2689935:37-233
    12Hutnik Krakow26881035:34132
    13Kleczew25871042:40231
    14Bielsko-Biala26791035:41-630
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec26761330:51-2127
    16KKS Kalisz26591227:42-1524
    17LKS Lodz II26481426:49-2320
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 26071918:60-426

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to