Arthur Nagel vs Matthew Donald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Altamura, hard - Final

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Arthur Nagel
61.1%
Matthew Donald
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arthur Nagel - Matthew Donald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.63)

    2.39
    (2.12)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nagel is ranked ATP: 529. Donald is ranked ATP: 588.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Nagel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nagel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Nagel - Matthew Donald were as follows:
    07.10.2025 Arthur Nagel - Matthew Donald 2:0
    Latest results of Arthur Nagel
    Latest results of Matthew Donald
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Nagel A. (1)Verno P.2 : 0
    2Eriksson Ziverts J.Chen C.2 : 0
    3Lorusso L.Figl M.1 : 2
    4Boros A.Pecci A. (7)1 : 2
    5Giunta M. (3)Colasanto F. G.2 : 0
    6Kamrowski M.Sardo G.2 : 0
    7Borrelli L.Schell N.2 : 1
    8Thomas F.Rossi L. (6)0 : 2
    9De Jonge D. (5)Parizzia N.0 : 2
    10Dragoni A.Zanada E.2 : 1
    11Knitter K.Primucci L.2 : 0
    12Rapagnetta D.Donald M. (4)0 : 2
    13Braynin A. (8)Zeuch T.2 : 0
    14Bocchi L.Thurner N.2 : 0
    15Mazzola F.Parenti L.0 : 2
    16Mecarelli M.Fajta P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Nagel A. (1)Eriksson Ziverts J. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Figl M.Pecci A. (7)0 : 2
    3Giunta M. (3)Kamrowski M.2 : 1
    4Borrelli L.Rossi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Parizzia N.Dragoni A.2 : 0
    6Knitter K.Donald M. (4)0 : 2
    7Braynin A. (8)Bocchi L.0 : 2
    8Parenti L.Mecarelli M.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Nagel A. (1)Pecci A. (7)2 : 1
    2Giunta M. (3)Rossi L. (6)1 : 2
    3Parizzia N.Donald M. (4)0 : 2
    4Bocchi L.Mecarelli M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nagel A. (1)Rossi L. (6)2 : 0
    2Donald M. (4)Bocchi L.2 : 0

    Final
    1Nagel A. (1)Donald M. (4)2 : 0