Result
2:0
08/10/2025 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 90% (26/29) | 70% (21/30) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 59% (16/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 10% (3/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 26% (5/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (40/48) | 65% (37/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 17% (8/48) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (60/105) | 43% (45/105) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Pavel Kotov
46.3% | August Holmgren
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.86) |
|
1.76 ↓
(1.86) |
6.7%
(7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Holmgren will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): August Holmgren will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kotov is ranked ATP: 485. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 178.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavel Kotov won against August Holmgren?
Pavel Kotov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has August Holmgren won against Pavel Kotov?
August Holmgren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren were as follows:
Latest results of Pavel Kotov
Latest results of August Holmgren
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | O'Connell C. (RET.) | Draxl L. | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. (Q) | Hijikata R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhou Y. (WC) | Schoolkate T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (4) | Tomic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Watanuki Y. | Harris B. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Jacquet K. (Q) | Samrej K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | McCabe J. (Alt) | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Duckworth J. (8) | Smith C. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Droguet T. | Cui J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bar Biryukov P. (Q) | Daniel T. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Wong C. | Djere L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | McDonald M. (6) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kotov P. (Q) | Holmgren A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Holt B. | Zhukov M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Sun F. (WC) | Walton A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Draxl L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Zhou Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomic B. | Harris B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jacquet K. | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Smith C. | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bar Biryukov P. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | McDonald M. (6) | Kotov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Holt B. | Walton A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Zhou Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tomic B. | Mochizuki S. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Smith C. | Bar Biryukov P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | McDonald M. (6) | Holt B. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | Mochizuki S. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bar Biryukov P. | McDonald M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cazaux A. (1) | McDonald M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
